Without any introduction or pretense, let’s start the discussion with the title. The scope of today’s topic is very large, the current affairs of Awami League-BNP-Jamaat are related to our politics. Small political parties, including the Jatiya Party, which are jumping on the money and threats of domestic and foreign intelligence agencies, have also become extremely important in recent times. But above all, now the various arguments about the formation, arrival and management of the coordinators of the July-August Revolution-King’s Party have been added to the tension on the India-Bangladesh border, the cold relations between Delhi and Dhaka, and the unrest between the people, media and bureaucrats of the two countries.

Politics on the edge of the ditch! Where is the country going! In addition to the aforementioned problems, the victory of the Arakan Army on the Myanmar border and the fall of Bashar al-Assad in Syria have also complicated the political calculations of Bangladesh. Donald Trump’s victory in America and the recent rise of China and Pakistan within the country and the fact that everything pro-Indian has become a background footage have created three types of problems in economics, diplomacy and politics. The problems are so complex, crooked and increasing in the form of an epidemic, that no one can keep themselves away from the problems even if they want to, but even the testimony of a human being, a great man or a superman cannot eliminate these problems overnight. As a result, trapped in the net of endless problems, we are all flowing at a rapid pace in the current of problems to fall into the sea of ​​problems.

The country’s economy has stalled the politics of Bangladesh. The economy that those who are running the government now inherited is not going to improve overnight. Moreover, due to inexperience in macroeconomics, inexperience in state management, and the ambiguity of their own political agenda, instability has been created in sensitive sectors like the financial system instead of stability. All the indicators of the economy are downward and one indicator has started to conflict with the other. In the last few months, sufficient remittances have arrived. Local currency has to be spent against this money. Due to the government’s lack of income, it is becoming quite difficult to supply local currency from the state treasury. The level of inflation that has reached while paying salaries, allowances, subsidies, and charitable aid by printing money can be estimated only by looking at the lamentation and instability of the lives of the marginalized population.

Industrial production has declined at a geometric rate since the Corona period. Employment has been decreasing, and the unemployment rate has reached an alarming level. Thousands of industrial factories, business establishments and small shops have closed. There are millions of establishments on the verge of closure. A large part of the country’s banking and insurance sector has been placed in the ICU to somehow breathe. If ICU support is withdrawn, the entire financial sector will collapse in a landslide, which may break all past records of bankruptcy. In such a situation, there is no new domestic or foreign investment – on the contrary, one after another anarchy in the garment sector has frightened people. Import trade has come to a standstill – the government is unable to increase imports despite its efforts. Because the purchasing power of consumers has decreased, the import of goods or the production of goods at the local level is at risk.

The latest news from the financial sector in the last three months is that thousands of accounts have been closed or have become empty. These accounts do not belong to anyone from the Awami League. These accounts used to have transactions of crores of taka or had balances of more than crores of taka. Due to the country’s economic recession, thousands of millionaires have gone bankrupt behind the scenes. Bad news is coming every day about bad loans or defaulted loans. Almost all banks have stopped new loans. Even the personal loans provided by various law enforcement agencies and armed forces’ banks have decreased significantly in the last few months. The aforementioned economic downturn has created a lot of unrest in the minds and thoughts of the people. As a result, the most important social qualities like respecting someone – being loyal to someone – trusting someone have been destroyed. The increase in distrust, suspicion and mistrust is breaking personal, family, social and political relationships. For these reasons, the relationship between Jamaat-BNP in politics without the Awami League is no longer the same. Many Awami League allies have sacrificed their long-time loyal and trusted people in an attempt to embrace them.

Political parties are running around outside the party due to suspicion, distrust and mistrust. However, in the changed situation, new conflicts and scandals have also started among themselves. For example, I will talk about some internal but public conflicts and scandals of the Awami League-BNP and Jamaat which have occurred due to the changed situation and these problems are destroying the parties, which are taking politics to the edge of the abyss. Let me start by talking about the Awami League, after the change of the 2024 scenario, all the anger of the party president has gone towards his pet bureaucrats and Kamla. He thinks that the way he created partisan bureaucrats and Kamla and ruthlessly destroyed the state treasury for the wealth, luxury, food and entertainment of those partisans has ultimately betrayed him. Secondly, by relying on bureaucrats, he himself had made all the political leadership of his party oppressed, incompetent, incompetent and ineffective. As a result, he is unable to find a leader at home or abroad to help him in his current predicament. In the situation that arises, he is trying to find solace by talking to renowned Chhatra League activists in Ajparagaon or Awami League leaders and activists living in London, America, on the phone.

Almost like Sheikh Hasina, Begum Khaleda Zia also spoke to the grassroots leaders and workers of the party on the phone in an unprecedented manner after she stepped down from power in 2006. Later, the acting chairman Tarique Rahman, who is sitting in London, has also been maintaining regular contact with the grassroots of the party day after day through phone, Skype, and WhatsApp technology. A lot can be said for and against these. But without going into that in today’s discussion, let’s talk about the current and internal problems of the BNP.

In BNP, the loyal and trusted senior leaders of Begum Zia kept themselves to themselves. They have become quite active in the changed situation, which has caused pain and sorrow to many. We do not know that the acting chairman has any friends or close people in the political arena. Most of the central leaders keep silent on many issues to protect their positions or are forced to talk about many issues. It is not visible whether they have discovered any amazing strategy by using their intelligence and conscience from 2006 to date, nor is it visible that the name of such a great person who has spent tirelessly for the party with his hand in his pocket, although the name of such a great person is not known, the infamy of selling the committee is against many leaders of the party. As a result, no one is seen coming forward to handle the changed situation. On the contrary, there are interesting conversations in the streets about who will do what if he comes to power.

There are daily discussions within the party about the BNP conference, the post of Secretary General, Tarique Rahman’s return to the country and Begum Zia’s foreign trips. The excesses of party bureaucrats, the usurpation of CBA leaders, the dominance of the transport sector, contracting business and sheltering Awami League leaders or the business of Awami League people’s support property and extortion, usurpation and illegal sources of income, who or what has seized them, who has got them and who has not, what the oppressed leaders and workers of the long-oppressed party are doing is a bad sign for politics.

For the above reasons, the top leaders of BNP are not as enthusiastic as before. There is also no open conflict, which is a serious loss for a party. Everyone is only thinking about today and calculating Nagad Narayan. They are giving proxies as much as they can and are strategically refraining from talking and doing things that lead to losing their positions and becoming focused on income and livelihood. As a result, instead of the traditional noise of a political party, a kind of calm atmosphere prevails everywhere in the BNP offices.

Like Awami League-BNP, Jamaat is also facing a difficult reality at present. Jamaat does not do traditional politics. As a result, their conflicts and troubles do not come to light. But even then, Jamaat’s internal problems play an important role in national politics, so that party should also be discussed openly. If you observe the speeches and activities of the current Ameer of Jamaat, you will think that Jamaat is going through the best time in history. But something is happening inside Jamaat, which is no less than the Awami League-BNP in some respects.

During Professor Ghulam Azam’s time, before the war crimes trial began, there were clearly two groups in Jamaat regarding business, banking and insurance, that is, the financial system. On one side was the late Mir Quasem and on the other side was Abu Zaher. Kamruzzaman was the most progressive in politics. The organizational power and influence of Ali Ahsan Mujahid, Quader Mollah and others on the party were immense, the popularity of Allama Delwar Hossain Sayedee, the skill of ATM Azahar, the wisdom of the late Maqbul Ahmad came to a halt in 2012. Until 2012, the family of Professor Ghulam Azam, the family of Matiur Rahman Nizami and the family of Mir Quasem had great influence and prestige in all matters of Jamaat. They had built an elitism and dynasty within Jamaat on the model of Awami League-BNP.

Since 2014, the party elitism and economic elitism have been at risk and after 2019, they were forced to go behind the scenes. In the changed situation, the current structure of Jamaat under the leadership of the current Amir has stood. But after the fall of Sheikh Hasina, that elitism of Jamaat has returned and only those close to Jamaat can say what moves it has made on the current leadership within the party.

We have come to the end of today’s discussion. In conclusion, I would just like to say that the overall politics of Bangladesh is going through the most complex, crooked and terrible time in history. You cannot put any of what is happening now into political grammar. No political formula, mantra, broom, or blow is working now. The deep darkness of uncertainty, the fog of anarchy, and the heated situation of chaos have destroyed people’s thoughts, feelings, and emotions. As a result, we are heading towards a situation where if someone falls into deep darkness and fears a poisonous snake and in that situation, if the hand of their beloved touches their body, they start screaming, just like that.

Without any introduction or pretense, let’s start the discussion with the title. The scope of today’s topic is very large, the current affairs of Awami League-BNP-Jamaat are related to our politics. Small political parties, including the Jatiya Party, which are jumping on the money and threats of domestic and foreign intelligence agencies, have also become extremely important in recent times. But above all, now the various arguments about the formation, arrival and management of the coordinators of the July-August Revolution-King’s Party have been added to the tension on the India-Bangladesh border, the cold relations between Delhi and Dhaka, and the unrest between the people, media and bureaucrats of the two countries.

Politics on the edge of the ditch! Where is the country going! In addition to the aforementioned problems, the victory of the Arakan Army on the Myanmar border and the fall of Bashar al-Assad in Syria have also complicated the political calculations of Bangladesh. Donald Trump’s victory in America and the recent rise of China and Pakistan within the country and the fact that everything pro-Indian has become a background footage have created three types of problems in economics, diplomacy and politics. The problems are so complex, crooked and increasing in the form of an epidemic, that no one can keep themselves away from the problems even if they want to, but even the testimony of a human being, a great man or a superman cannot eliminate these problems overnight. As a result, trapped in the net of endless problems, we are all flowing at a rapid pace in the current of problems to fall into the sea of ​​problems.

The country’s economy has stalled the politics of Bangladesh. The economy that those who are running the government now inherited is not going to improve overnight. Moreover, due to inexperience in macroeconomics, inexperience in state management, and the ambiguity of their own political agenda, instability has been created in sensitive sectors like the financial system instead of stability. All the indicators of the economy are downward and one indicator has started to conflict with the other. In the last few months, sufficient remittances have arrived. Local currency has to be spent against this money. Due to the government’s lack of income, it is becoming quite difficult to supply local currency from the state treasury. The level of inflation that has reached while paying salaries, allowances, subsidies, and charitable aid by printing money can be estimated only by looking at the lamentation and instability of the lives of the marginalized population.

Industrial production has declined at a geometric rate since the Corona period. Employment has been decreasing, and the unemployment rate has reached an alarming level. Thousands of industrial factories, business establishments and small shops have closed. There are millions of establishments on the verge of closure. A large part of the country’s banking and insurance sector has been placed in the ICU to somehow breathe. If ICU support is withdrawn, the entire financial sector will collapse in a landslide, which may break all past records of bankruptcy. In such a situation, there is no new domestic or foreign investment – on the contrary, one after another anarchy in the garment sector has frightened people. Import trade has come to a standstill – the government is unable to increase imports despite its efforts. Because the purchasing power of consumers has decreased, the import of goods or the production of goods at the local level is at risk.

The latest news from the financial sector in the last three months is that thousands of accounts have been closed or have become empty. These accounts do not belong to anyone from the Awami League. These accounts used to have transactions of crores of taka or had balances of more than crores of taka. Due to the country’s economic recession, thousands of millionaires have gone bankrupt behind the scenes. Bad news is coming every day about bad loans or defaulted loans. Almost all banks have stopped new loans. Even the personal loans provided by various law enforcement agencies and armed forces’ banks have decreased significantly in the last few months. The aforementioned economic downturn has created a lot of unrest in the minds and thoughts of the people. As a result, the most important social qualities like respecting someone – being loyal to someone – trusting someone have been destroyed. The increase in distrust, suspicion and mistrust is breaking personal, family, social and political relationships. For these reasons, the relationship between Jamaat-BNP in politics without the Awami League is no longer the same. Many Awami League allies have sacrificed their long-time loyal and trusted people in an attempt to embrace them.

Political parties are running around outside the party due to suspicion, distrust and mistrust. However, in the changed situation, new conflicts and scandals have also started among themselves. For example, I will talk about some internal but public conflicts and scandals of the Awami League-BNP and Jamaat which have occurred due to the changed situation and these problems are destroying the parties, which are taking politics to the edge of the abyss. Let me start by talking about the Awami League, after the change of the 2024 scenario, all the anger of the party president has gone towards his pet bureaucrats and Kamla. He thinks that the way he created partisan bureaucrats and Kamla and ruthlessly destroyed the state treasury for the wealth, luxury, food and entertainment of those partisans has ultimately betrayed him. Secondly, by relying on bureaucrats, he himself had made all the political leadership of his party oppressed, incompetent, incompetent and ineffective. As a result, he is unable to find a leader at home or abroad to help him in his current predicament. In the situation that arises, he is trying to find solace by talking to renowned Chhatra League activists in Ajparagaon or Awami League leaders and activists living in London, America, on the phone.

Almost like Sheikh Hasina, Begum Khaleda Zia also spoke to the grassroots leaders and workers of the party on the phone in an unprecedented manner after she stepped down from power in 2006. Later, the acting chairman Tarique Rahman, who is sitting in London, has also been maintaining regular contact with the grassroots of the party day after day through phone, Skype, and WhatsApp technology. A lot can be said for and against these. But without going into that in today’s discussion, let’s talk about the current and internal problems of the BNP.

In BNP, the loyal and trusted senior leaders of Begum Zia kept themselves to themselves. They have become quite active in the changed situation, which has caused pain and sorrow to many. We do not know that the acting chairman has any friends or close people in the political arena. Most of the central leaders keep silent on many issues to protect their positions or are forced to talk about many issues. It is not visible whether they have discovered any amazing strategy by using their intelligence and conscience from 2006 to date, nor is it visible that the name of such a great person who has spent tirelessly for the party with his hand in his pocket, although the name of such a great person is not known, the infamy of selling the committee is against many leaders of the party. As a result, no one is seen coming forward to handle the changed situation. On the contrary, there are interesting conversations in the streets about who will do what if he comes to power.

There are daily discussions within the party about the BNP conference, the post of Secretary General, Tarique Rahman’s return to the country and Begum Zia’s foreign trips. The excesses of party bureaucrats, the usurpation of CBA leaders, the dominance of the transport sector, contracting business and sheltering Awami League leaders or the business of Awami League people’s support property and extortion, usurpation and illegal sources of income, who or what has seized them, who has got them and who has not, what the oppressed leaders and workers of the long-oppressed party are doing is a bad sign for politics.

For the above reasons, the top leaders of BNP are not as enthusiastic as before. There is also no open conflict, which is a serious loss for a party. Everyone is only thinking about today and calculating Nagad Narayan. They are giving proxies as much as they can and are strategically refraining from talking and doing things that lead to losing their positions and becoming focused on income and livelihood. As a result, instead of the traditional noise of a political party, a kind of calm atmosphere prevails everywhere in the BNP offices.

Like Awami League-BNP, Jamaat is also facing a difficult reality at present. Jamaat does not do traditional politics. As a result, their conflicts and troubles do not come to light. But even then, Jamaat’s internal problems play an important role in national politics, so that party should also be discussed openly. If you observe the speeches and activities of the current Ameer of Jamaat, you will think that Jamaat is going through the best time in history. But something is happening inside Jamaat, which is no less than the Awami League-BNP in some respects.

During Professor Ghulam Azam’s time, before the war crimes trial began, there were clearly two groups in Jamaat regarding business, banking and insurance, that is, the financial system. On one side was the late Mir Quasem and on the other side was Abu Zaher. Kamruzzaman was the most progressive in politics. The organizational power and influence of Ali Ahsan Mujahid, Quader Mollah and others on the party were immense, the popularity of Allama Delwar Hossain Sayedee, the skill of ATM Azahar, the wisdom of the late Maqbul Ahmad came to a halt in 2012. Until 2012, the family of Professor Ghulam Azam, the family of Matiur Rahman Nizami and the family of Mir Quasem had great influence and prestige in all matters of Jamaat. They had built an elitism and dynasty within Jamaat on the model of Awami League-BNP.

Since 2014, the party elitism and economic elitism have been at risk and after 2019, they were forced to go behind the scenes. In the changed situation, the current structure of Jamaat under the leadership of the current Amir has stood. But after the fall of Sheikh Hasina, that elitism of Jamaat has returned and only those close to Jamaat can say what moves it has made on the current leadership within the party.

We have come to the end of today’s discussion. In conclusion, I would just like to say that the overall politics of Bangladesh is going through the most complex, crooked and terrible time in history. You cannot put any of what is happening now into political grammar. No political formula, mantra, broom, or blow is working now. The deep darkness of uncertainty, the fog of anarchy, and the heated situation of chaos have destroyed people’s thoughts, feelings, and emotions. As a result, we are heading towards a situation where if someone falls into deep darkness and fears a poisonous snake and in that situation, if the hand of their beloved touches their body, they start screaming, just like that.